Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 57°F around 4 PM, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "61°F or below." Persistent overcast skies, morning mist, and evening light drizzle suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, despite a mild southerly flow, keeping readings well under the early May climatological normal of 62-63°F. This aligns with model guidance from NOAA forecasting cloudy conditions amid a cool marine layer. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibration, though official records rarely shift after initial hourly METAR reports. Final daily climate summary expected soon from NWS Seattle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 6?
61°F or below 100.0%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$131,037 Vol.
$131,037 Vol.
61°F or below
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
61°F or below 100.0%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$131,037 Vol.
$131,037 Vol.
61°F or below
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, peaked at 57°F around 4 PM, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "61°F or below." Persistent overcast skies, morning mist, and evening light drizzle suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, despite a mild southerly flow, keeping readings well under the early May climatological normal of 62-63°F. This aligns with model guidance from NOAA forecasting cloudy conditions amid a cool marine layer. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or instrument recalibration, though official records rarely shift after initial hourly METAR reports. Final daily climate summary expected soon from NWS Seattle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions