Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 23 de maio?
31°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$146,661 Vol.
$146,661 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Sim
32°C ou mais
Não
31°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$146,661 Vol.
$146,661 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Sim
32°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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