Current forecast models, including runs from the Met Office, point to a peak of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects. These align closely with the seasonal August average high near 31–32°C and show no significant departures or extreme-heat signals in recent data. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities captures this narrow range, with limited weight on outliers given stable atmospheric patterns and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model guidance and observational verification ahead of peak heating will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 22 de agosto?
32°C 55%
33°C 43%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
55%
33°C
43%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 43%
31°C 4%
34°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
55%
33°C
43%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including runs from the Met Office, point to a peak of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 22 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects. These align closely with the seasonal August average high near 31–32°C and show no significant departures or extreme-heat signals in recent data. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities captures this narrow range, with limited weight on outliers given stable atmospheric patterns and minimal precipitation risk. Updated model guidance and observational verification ahead of peak heating will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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