Latest MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather model runs converge on a daily maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12, 2026, producing the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes. A developing front combined with a moderating northerly flow is expected to deliver modest warming relative to recent 10–12°C maxima under stronger southerlies, yet persistent cloud cover and elevated winds will cap further gains. August climatology shows average highs of 12–13°C under typical westerly maritime influence, so the current setup sits near seasonal norms. Small differences in frontal timing or wind shift could still swing the observed peak by 1°C, sustaining trader uncertainty ahead of final MetService guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 12 de agosto?
14°C 69%
13°C 27%
12°C 1.6%
15°C 2%
NOVO
$46,696 Vol.
NOVO
$46,696 Vol.
12 ago 2026
9°C ou menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
27%
14°C
69%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
14°C 69%
13°C 27%
12°C 1.6%
15°C 2%
NOVO
$46,696 Vol.
NOVO
$46,696 Vol.
12 ago 2026
9°C ou menos
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,807 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$6,975 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$7,366 Vol.
2%
13°C
$9,531 Vol.
27%
14°C
$6,940 Vol.
69%
15°C
$5,494 Vol.
2%
16°C
$3,203 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,793 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$658 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou mais
$659 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather model runs converge on a daily maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12, 2026, producing the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes. A developing front combined with a moderating northerly flow is expected to deliver modest warming relative to recent 10–12°C maxima under stronger southerlies, yet persistent cloud cover and elevated winds will cap further gains. August climatology shows average highs of 12–13°C under typical westerly maritime influence, so the current setup sits near seasonal norms. Small differences in frontal timing or wind shift could still swing the observed peak by 1°C, sustaining trader uncertainty ahead of final MetService guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$46,696Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather model runs converge on a daily maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12, 2026, producing the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes. A developing front combined with a moderating northerly flow is expected to deliver modest warming relative to recent 10–12°C maxima under stronger southerlies, yet persistent cloud cover and elevated winds will cap further gains. August climatology shows average highs of 12–13°C under typical westerly maritime influence, so the current setup sits near seasonal norms. Small differences in frontal timing or wind shift could still swing the observed peak by 1°C, sustaining trader uncertainty ahead of final MetService guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,696Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService, NIWA, and AccuWeather model runs converge on a daily maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 12, 2026, producing the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes. A developing front combined with a moderating northerly flow is expected to deliver modest warming relative to recent 10–12°C maxima under stronger southerlies, yet persistent cloud cover and elevated winds will cap further gains. August climatology shows average highs of 12–13°C under typical westerly maritime influence, so the current setup sits near seasonal norms. Small differences in frontal timing or wind shift could still swing the observed peak by 1°C, sustaining trader uncertainty ahead of final MetService guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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