**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 22?
14°C 100.0%
8°C ou menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$67,775 Vol.
$67,775 Vol.
22 jun 2026
8°C ou menos
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
Não
17°C
No
18°C ou mais
Não
14°C 100.0%
8°C ou menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$67,775 Vol.
$67,775 Vol.
22 jun 2026
8°C ou menos
$410 Vol.
Não
9°C
$254 Vol.
Não
10°C
$457 Vol.
Não
11°C
$6,676 Vol.
Não
12°C
$13,528 Vol.
Não
13°C
$16,382 Vol.
Não
14°C
$11,700 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$11,302 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,788 Vol.
Não
17°C
$830 Vol.
No
18°C ou mais
$447 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$67,775Data de Término
22 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,775Data de Término
22 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Near-average winter conditions under developing El Niño are anchoring trader consensus near the 13–14°C climatological maximum for Wellington on June 22.** Southwesterly flow anomalies, driven by high pressure west of New Zealand and low pressure to the north, are expected to advect cooler maritime air while enhancing mixing across Cook Strait, limiting daytime warming. NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with historical June highs of 13°C. Minor differences between 13°C and 14°C hinge on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and whether a brief northerly shift occurs; stronger winds would favor the lower end by increasing turbulent heat flux from the ocean. Short-range MetService and global model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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