Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 26 de junho?
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 Vol.
$173,811 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 Vol.
$173,811 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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