OpenAI's confidential IPO filing and pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus valuation anchor trader sentiment, with implied probabilities split between sub-$30 billion raises (34.2%) and $100 billion-plus outcomes (27.0%) amid uncertainty over timing and market absorption capacity. Recent secondary tender offers at an $852 billion valuation and revenue run rates exceeding $40 billion annually underscore strong growth in enterprise API and ChatGPT subscriptions, yet persistent losses and competition from Anthropic's parallel filing introduce execution risks. Macro factors including Treasury yields, equity volatility, and investor appetite for high-multiple AI listings will likely determine the final raise size ahead of potential late-2026 or 2027 debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 36.2%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
36%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
5%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
30%
<$30B 36.2%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
36%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
5%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
30%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's confidential IPO filing and pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus valuation anchor trader sentiment, with implied probabilities split between sub-$30 billion raises (34.2%) and $100 billion-plus outcomes (27.0%) amid uncertainty over timing and market absorption capacity. Recent secondary tender offers at an $852 billion valuation and revenue run rates exceeding $40 billion annually underscore strong growth in enterprise API and ChatGPT subscriptions, yet persistent losses and competition from Anthropic's parallel filing introduce execution risks. Macro factors including Treasury yields, equity volatility, and investor appetite for high-multiple AI listings will likely determine the final raise size ahead of potential late-2026 or 2027 debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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