OpenAI’s path to an IPO with a closing market cap above the $1 trillion threshold hinges primarily on its insistence on that valuation floor, as CEO Sam Altman has rejected lower targets despite a March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion. With a confidential S-1 filed in June and CFO Sarah Friar confirming a 2027 public debut in August, the company’s ~$24 billion annualized revenue run rate and continued heavy losses create tension between growth expectations and profitability concerns. Recent pre-IPO share marks near $894 billion and volatility in peer listings like SpaceX underscore how equity market conditions, AI sector multiples, and any updates on user metrics or compute costs could shift the implied probability of clearing elevated market-cap levels at pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1,529,250 Vol.
$1,529,250 Vol.
30 dez 2027
US$ 800 bilhões
93%
US$ 1 trilhão
87%
US$1,2 tri
85%
US$ 1,4 tri
77%
US$ 1,6 trilhão
65%
$1,529,250 Vol.
$1,529,250 Vol.
30 dez 2027
US$ 800 bilhões
$110,637 Vol.
93%
US$ 1 trilhão
$1,048,540 Vol.
87%
US$1,2 tri
$249,448 Vol.
85%
US$ 1,4 tri
$68,861 Vol.
77%
US$ 1,6 trilhão
$51,764 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO with a closing market cap above the $1 trillion threshold hinges primarily on its insistence on that valuation floor, as CEO Sam Altman has rejected lower targets despite a March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion. With a confidential S-1 filed in June and CFO Sarah Friar confirming a 2027 public debut in August, the company’s ~$24 billion annualized revenue run rate and continued heavy losses create tension between growth expectations and profitability concerns. Recent pre-IPO share marks near $894 billion and volatility in peer listings like SpaceX underscore how equity market conditions, AI sector multiples, and any updates on user metrics or compute costs could shift the implied probability of clearing elevated market-cap levels at pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,529,250Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s path to an IPO with a closing market cap above the $1 trillion threshold hinges primarily on its insistence on that valuation floor, as CEO Sam Altman has rejected lower targets despite a March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion. With a confidential S-1 filed in June and CFO Sarah Friar confirming a 2027 public debut in August, the company’s ~$24 billion annualized revenue run rate and continued heavy losses create tension between growth expectations and profitability concerns. Recent pre-IPO share marks near $894 billion and volatility in peer listings like SpaceX underscore how equity market conditions, AI sector multiples, and any updates on user metrics or compute costs could shift the implied probability of clearing elevated market-cap levels at pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,529,250Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s path to an IPO with a closing market cap above the $1 trillion threshold hinges primarily on its insistence on that valuation floor, as CEO Sam Altman has rejected lower targets despite a March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion. With a confidential S-1 filed in June and CFO Sarah Friar confirming a 2027 public debut in August, the company’s ~$24 billion annualized revenue run rate and continued heavy losses create tension between growth expectations and profitability concerns. Recent pre-IPO share marks near $894 billion and volatility in peer listings like SpaceX underscore how equity market conditions, AI sector multiples, and any updates on user metrics or compute costs could shift the implied probability of clearing elevated market-cap levels at pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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