Illinois's solidly Democratic electorate and the March 2026 primaries have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and outpaced Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, in early fundraising by roughly two-to-one. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the party's unbroken Senate wins in the state since 2010. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Illinois's partisan baseline, the nominees' profiles, and the absence of major recent shifts. Late developments such as a national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific events could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$25,262 Vol.
$25,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
5%
$25,262 Vol.
$25,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$12,850 Vol.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$12,412 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's solidly Democratic electorate and the March 2026 primaries have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and outpaced Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, in early fundraising by roughly two-to-one. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the party's unbroken Senate wins in the state since 2010. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Illinois's partisan baseline, the nominees' profiles, and the absence of major recent shifts. Late developments such as a national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific events could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$25,262Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's solidly Democratic electorate and the March 2026 primaries have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and outpaced Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, in early fundraising by roughly two-to-one. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the party's unbroken Senate wins in the state since 2010. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Illinois's partisan baseline, the nominees' profiles, and the absence of major recent shifts. Late developments such as a national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific events could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$25,262Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's solidly Democratic electorate and the March 2026 primaries have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and outpaced Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, in early fundraising by roughly two-to-one. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the party's unbroken Senate wins in the state since 2010. Trader consensus at these levels reflects Illinois's partisan baseline, the nominees' profiles, and the absence of major recent shifts. Late developments such as a national Republican surge or unforeseen candidate-specific events could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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