Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker, seeking a third full term, advanced unopposed through the June 2 primary in a state where Democrats hold a wide voter-registration edge and Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 1972. The Republican nominee, Justin Murphy, emerged from a divided four-candidate primary with roughly one-third of the vote and trails significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting New Jersey’s consistent partisan lean and Booker’s established statewide profile. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still narrow the margin before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$18,049 Vol.
$18,049 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
95%
Republicano
5%
$18,049 Vol.
$18,049 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$9,058 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$8,991 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker, seeking a third full term, advanced unopposed through the June 2 primary in a state where Democrats hold a wide voter-registration edge and Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 1972. The Republican nominee, Justin Murphy, emerged from a divided four-candidate primary with roughly one-third of the vote and trails significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting New Jersey’s consistent partisan lean and Booker’s established statewide profile. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$18,049Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker, seeking a third full term, advanced unopposed through the June 2 primary in a state where Democrats hold a wide voter-registration edge and Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 1972. The Republican nominee, Justin Murphy, emerged from a divided four-candidate primary with roughly one-third of the vote and trails significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting New Jersey’s consistent partisan lean and Booker’s established statewide profile. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,049Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker, seeking a third full term, advanced unopposed through the June 2 primary in a state where Democrats hold a wide voter-registration edge and Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 1972. The Republican nominee, Justin Murphy, emerged from a divided four-candidate primary with roughly one-third of the vote and trails significantly in fundraising. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting New Jersey’s consistent partisan lean and Booker’s established statewide profile. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still narrow the margin before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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