Current forecasts from the Met Office and European models converge on a minimum temperature of 13–14°C for Amsterdam on August 21, driven by light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and typical late-summer radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological averages for the period, where overnight lows often settle near 13°C. The tight market split between 13°C and 14°C reflects model consensus on subtle variables like exact cloud cover or a passing shower that could alter the low by 1°C. Lower outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected cold air intrusion, while higher readings would require stronger southerly flow or persistent cloud. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 21 de agosto?
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
12°C 2%
9°C or below <1%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
12°C 2%
9°C or below <1%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Met Office and European models converge on a minimum temperature of 13–14°C for Amsterdam on August 21, driven by light winds, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and typical late-summer radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological averages for the period, where overnight lows often settle near 13°C. The tight market split between 13°C and 14°C reflects model consensus on subtle variables like exact cloud cover or a passing shower that could alter the low by 1°C. Lower outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected cold air intrusion, while higher readings would require stronger southerly flow or persistent cloud. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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