Recent short-range model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows Jinan overnight lows on September 21 likely centering near 18–21 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies following daytime highs around 28–30 °C. This narrow range explains the near-even market split between sub-13 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes, as modest shifts in wind direction, dew-point depression, or residual moisture from weak frontal passage can alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical September climatology for the region supports typical minima near 18 °C, but current guidance diverges on the strength of northerly flow and cloud cover, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs and local station observations ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 21 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 96%
22°C ou mais 49%
13°C 38%
14°C 38%
12°C ou menos
96%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C ou mais
49%
12°C ou menos 96%
22°C ou mais 49%
13°C 38%
14°C 38%
12°C ou menos
96%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
20%
16°C
20%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C ou mais
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows Jinan overnight lows on September 21 likely centering near 18–21 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies following daytime highs around 28–30 °C. This narrow range explains the near-even market split between sub-13 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes, as modest shifts in wind direction, dew-point depression, or residual moisture from weak frontal passage can alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical September climatology for the region supports typical minima near 18 °C, but current guidance diverges on the strength of northerly flow and cloud cover, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs and local station observations ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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