Persistent southwest monsoon flow over the Philippines is the dominant driver keeping Manila's overnight lows elevated on August 28, with PAGASA and GFS/ECMWF guidance showing widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Forecast minimums cluster tightly around 25–27 °C (roughly 77–81 °F), as moist southwesterly winds and 80–95 % relative humidity reduce the typical 5–7 °C diurnal range. Historical August baselines near 25.6 °C provide context, but active convection and the absence of clear-sky conditions this week tilt probabilities away from sub-24 °C readings while capping upside potential above 28 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through August 27 will refine the exact minimum, with traders weighting wind speed and precipitation timing as key variables that can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 28 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila em 28 de agosto?
29°C 86%
22°C 84%
31°C or higher 61%
25°C 47%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
21°C or below
9%
22°C
84%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
46%
28°C
46%
29°C
86%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
61%
29°C 86%
22°C 84%
31°C or higher 61%
25°C 47%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
21°C or below
$22 Vol.
9%
22°C
$22 Vol.
84%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
47%
27°C
$0 Vol.
46%
28°C
$0 Vol.
46%
29°C
$22 Vol.
86%
30°C
$22 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$22 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow over the Philippines is the dominant driver keeping Manila's overnight lows elevated on August 28, with PAGASA and GFS/ECMWF guidance showing widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Forecast minimums cluster tightly around 25–27 °C (roughly 77–81 °F), as moist southwesterly winds and 80–95 % relative humidity reduce the typical 5–7 °C diurnal range. Historical August baselines near 25.6 °C provide context, but active convection and the absence of clear-sky conditions this week tilt probabilities away from sub-24 °C readings while capping upside potential above 28 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through August 27 will refine the exact minimum, with traders weighting wind speed and precipitation timing as key variables that can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$109Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow over the Philippines is the dominant driver keeping Manila's overnight lows elevated on August 28, with PAGASA and GFS/ECMWF guidance showing widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Forecast minimums cluster tightly around 25–27 °C (roughly 77–81 °F), as moist southwesterly winds and 80–95 % relative humidity reduce the typical 5–7 °C diurnal range. Historical August baselines near 25.6 °C provide context, but active convection and the absence of clear-sky conditions this week tilt probabilities away from sub-24 °C readings while capping upside potential above 28 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through August 27 will refine the exact minimum, with traders weighting wind speed and precipitation timing as key variables that can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow over the Philippines is the dominant driver keeping Manila's overnight lows elevated on August 28, with PAGASA and GFS/ECMWF guidance showing widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Forecast minimums cluster tightly around 25–27 °C (roughly 77–81 °F), as moist southwesterly winds and 80–95 % relative humidity reduce the typical 5–7 °C diurnal range. Historical August baselines near 25.6 °C provide context, but active convection and the absence of clear-sky conditions this week tilt probabilities away from sub-24 °C readings while capping upside potential above 28 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through August 27 will refine the exact minimum, with traders weighting wind speed and precipitation timing as key variables that can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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