Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris em 20 de junho?
18°C ou menos 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$15,842 Vol.
$15,842 Vol.
18°C ou menos
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
18°C ou menos 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$15,842 Vol.
$15,842 Vol.
18°C ou menos
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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