Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds that promote overnight radiative cooling under calm conditions. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11°C for the date, with recent observations reflecting a stable pattern of 12–13°C minima amid above-normal September warmth. Trader emphasis on 10–11°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model runs and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain light, while lower probabilities for 8°C or below align with limited historical precedent and consensus guidance from agencies like Météo-France. Updated model outputs and official minimum readings will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 22 de setembro?
10°C 40%
9°C 39%
12°C 36%
8°C 34%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
7°C ou menos
25%
8°C
34%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
28%
12°C
36%
13°C
34%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C ou mais
2%
10°C 40%
9°C 39%
12°C 36%
8°C 34%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
7°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
34%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$145 Vol.
40%
11°C
$20 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds that promote overnight radiative cooling under calm conditions. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11°C for the date, with recent observations reflecting a stable pattern of 12–13°C minima amid above-normal September warmth. Trader emphasis on 10–11°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model runs and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain light, while lower probabilities for 8°C or below align with limited historical precedent and consensus guidance from agencies like Météo-France. Updated model outputs and official minimum readings will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$165Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds that promote overnight radiative cooling under calm conditions. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11°C for the date, with recent observations reflecting a stable pattern of 12–13°C minima amid above-normal September warmth. Trader emphasis on 10–11°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model runs and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain light, while lower probabilities for 8°C or below align with limited historical precedent and consensus guidance from agencies like Météo-France. Updated model outputs and official minimum readings will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$165Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C in Paris on September 22, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds that promote overnight radiative cooling under calm conditions. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11°C for the date, with recent observations reflecting a stable pattern of 12–13°C minima amid above-normal September warmth. Trader emphasis on 10–11°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact model runs and potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain light, while lower probabilities for 8°C or below align with limited historical precedent and consensus guidance from agencies like Météo-France. Updated model outputs and official minimum readings will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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