Traders are pricing the lowest temperature in Paris on September 21 near 9–10 °C, with those bins capturing two-thirds of the market. Short-range ensemble forecasts from European models show a cool, mostly clear night favoring strong radiative cooling under light winds, while a modest northerly flow limits daytime heat retention. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but still permit a one-degree shift depending on final cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima in the city average near 12 °C, so the current outlook reflects a notable cool anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Météo-France’s next model cycle and overnight observations will resolve the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 21 de setembro?
13°C 38%
10°C 36%
11°C 29%
9°C ou menos 29%
9°C ou menos
29%
10°C
36%
11°C
29%
12°C
17%
13°C
38%
14°C
10%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C ou mais
1%
13°C 38%
10°C 36%
11°C 29%
9°C ou menos 29%
9°C ou menos
29%
10°C
36%
11°C
29%
12°C
17%
13°C
38%
14°C
10%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the lowest temperature in Paris on September 21 near 9–10 °C, with those bins capturing two-thirds of the market. Short-range ensemble forecasts from European models show a cool, mostly clear night favoring strong radiative cooling under light winds, while a modest northerly flow limits daytime heat retention. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but still permit a one-degree shift depending on final cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima in the city average near 12 °C, so the current outlook reflects a notable cool anomaly driven by the synoptic pattern. Météo-France’s next model cycle and overnight observations will resolve the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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