Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature of 26°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation, consistent with mid-August subtropical climatology where elevated humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions position 24–25°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader adjustments for potential forecast revisions or slight station-specific variations at Incheon. Recent model consensus shows stable overnight lows near 24–26°C, with limited scope for deeper cooling absent clearer skies or drier air advection. Updated KMA guidance and observational data ahead of the overnight period remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 15 de agosto?
25°C 44%
24°C 35%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
35%
25°C
44%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 35%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$335 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$591 Vol.
4%
24°C
$2,244 Vol.
35%
25°C
$1,956 Vol.
44%
26°C
$1,076 Vol.
20%
27°C
$509 Vol.
2%
28°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature of 26°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation, consistent with mid-August subtropical climatology where elevated humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions position 24–25°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader adjustments for potential forecast revisions or slight station-specific variations at Incheon. Recent model consensus shows stable overnight lows near 24–26°C, with limited scope for deeper cooling absent clearer skies or drier air advection. Updated KMA guidance and observational data ahead of the overnight period remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$8,410Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature of 26°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation, consistent with mid-August subtropical climatology where elevated humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions position 24–25°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader adjustments for potential forecast revisions or slight station-specific variations at Incheon. Recent model consensus shows stable overnight lows near 24–26°C, with limited scope for deeper cooling absent clearer skies or drier air advection. Updated KMA guidance and observational data ahead of the overnight period remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,410Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature of 26°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation, consistent with mid-August subtropical climatology where elevated humidity and cloud cover limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions position 24–25°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader adjustments for potential forecast revisions or slight station-specific variations at Incheon. Recent model consensus shows stable overnight lows near 24–26°C, with limited scope for deeper cooling absent clearer skies or drier air advection. Updated KMA guidance and observational data ahead of the overnight period remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions