Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to an overnight low in Shenzhen near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. High humidity near 80% and residual cloud cover from daytime convection limit radiational cooling, while the absence of stronger northerly advection or frontal passages keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms for late September. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any scattered showers explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. Official minimum readings from Shenzhen stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 24 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 24 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 90%
22°C 90%
23°C 90%
24°C 90%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
21°C ou menos
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
90%
25°C
50%
26°C
48%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
21°C ou menos 90%
22°C 90%
23°C 90%
24°C 90%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
90%
22°C
$0 Vol.
90%
23°C
$15 Vol.
90%
24°C
$15 Vol.
90%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$23 Vol.
48%
27°C
$17 Vol.
1%
28°C
$16 Vol.
1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to an overnight low in Shenzhen near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. High humidity near 80% and residual cloud cover from daytime convection limit radiational cooling, while the absence of stronger northerly advection or frontal passages keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms for late September. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any scattered showers explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. Official minimum readings from Shenzhen stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$131Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to an overnight low in Shenzhen near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. High humidity near 80% and residual cloud cover from daytime convection limit radiational cooling, while the absence of stronger northerly advection or frontal passages keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms for late September. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any scattered showers explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. Official minimum readings from Shenzhen stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to an overnight low in Shenzhen near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. High humidity near 80% and residual cloud cover from daytime convection limit radiational cooling, while the absence of stronger northerly advection or frontal passages keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms for late September. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any scattered showers explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C. Official minimum readings from Shenzhen stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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