**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tel Aviv on September 17, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 37% and 30% implied probability.** Clear skies, light variable winds (typically 2–5 m/s from the southeast overnight shifting northwest), and moderate humidity levels around 80–90% support gradual overnight cooling without significant radiative losses or advection of cooler air. Historical climatology places the average low near 23°C, with the day's minimum typically occurring between 5–7 AM local time before solar heating begins. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on precise model handling of boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, as even a 1°C shift in the overnight low can result from small changes in wind speed or cloud cover. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv em 17 de setembro?
19°C ou menos 44%
29°C ou mais 44%
23°C 37%
24°C 29%
19°C ou menos
44%
20°C
17%
21°C
19%
22°C
21%
23°C
37%
24°C
29%
25°C
20%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C ou mais
44%
19°C ou menos 44%
29°C ou mais 44%
23°C 37%
24°C 29%
19°C ou menos
44%
20°C
17%
21°C
19%
22°C
21%
23°C
37%
24°C
29%
25°C
20%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C ou mais
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Tel Aviv on September 17, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 37% and 30% implied probability.** Clear skies, light variable winds (typically 2–5 m/s from the southeast overnight shifting northwest), and moderate humidity levels around 80–90% support gradual overnight cooling without significant radiative losses or advection of cooler air. Historical climatology places the average low near 23°C, with the day's minimum typically occurring between 5–7 AM local time before solar heating begins. Minor differences among outcomes hinge on precise model handling of boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, as even a 1°C shift in the overnight low can result from small changes in wind speed or cloud cover. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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