Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 10 de julho?
24°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,077 Vol.
$23,077 Vol.
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
24°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,077 Vol.
$23,077 Vol.
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a Tokyo minimum near 22–24 °C on 10 July, reflecting typical mid-July radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity that limits overnight temperature drops. Urban heat-island effects and southerly flow off the Pacific further anchor nighttime readings around the 23 °C climatological average, while modest model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer wind accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 21 °C and 24 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late shifts in the subtropical ridge will be the next catalysts capable of moving the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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