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Bilheteria de Abertura do Fim de Semana "Michael"

Market icon

Bilheteria de Abertura do Fim de Semana "Michael"

abr 20

abr 20

abr 20

abr 27

abr 20

abr 20

abr 20

abr 27

>80 milhões 60%

75-80 milhões 21%

70-75 milhões 10%

<60m 2.9%

Polymarket

$15,405 Vol.

>80 milhões 60%

75-80 milhões 21%

70-75 milhões 10%

<60m 2.9%

Polymarket

$15,405 Vol.

<60m

$2,887 Vol.

3%

60-65 milhões

$1,813 Vol.

2%

65-70 milhões

$3,064 Vol.

2%

70-75 milhões

$500 Vol.

10%

75-80 milhões

$404 Vol.

15%

>80 milhões

$6,737 Vol.

60%

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-sales and three-week box office tracking have propelled trader consensus toward a record-shattering domestic opening for Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic Michael, with the >$80M outcome leading at 61% implied probability on Polymarket. Recent Deadline reports from April 2 highlight projections north of $60M—surpassing Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M biopic benchmark—fueled by exceptional advance ticket sales for April 22 fan screenings, broad demographic appeal especially among over-25s, and Jaafar Jackson's uncanny likeness generating buzz. Earlier Boxoffice Pro forecasts eyed $80M-$90M, while April 9 updates suggested potential for $100M, though $15M reshoots altering the ending introduced minor uncertainty. Eyes now turn to final pre-release metrics ahead of the April 24 debut.

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$15,405
Data de Término
27 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-sales and three-week box office tracking have propelled trader consensus toward a record-shattering domestic opening for Lionsgate's Michael Jackson biopic Michael, with the >$80M outcome leading at 61% implied probability on Polymarket. Recent Deadline reports from April 2 highlight projections north of $60M—surpassing Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M biopic benchmark—fueled by exceptional advance ticket sales for April 22 fan screenings, broad demographic appeal especially among over-25s, and Jaafar Jackson's uncanny likeness generating buzz. Earlier Boxoffice Pro forecasts eyed $80M-$90M, while April 9 updates suggested potential for $100M, though $15M reshoots altering the ending introduced minor uncertainty. Eyes now turn to final pre-release metrics ahead of the April 24 debut.

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$15,405
Data de Término
27 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bilheteria de Abertura do Fim de Semana "Michael"" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">80 milhões" at 60%, followed by "75-80 milhões" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bilheteria de Abertura do Fim de Semana "Michael"" has generated $15.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bilheteria de Abertura do Fim de Semana "Michael"," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bilheteria de Abertura do Fim de Semana "Michael"" is ">80 milhões" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "75-80 milhões" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bilheteria de Abertura do Fim de Semana "Michael"" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.