Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X posting from April 16-18, driven by a sharp slowdown in his social media cadence over the past 48 hours—dropping to just a few posts amid SpaceX Starship V3 static fire tests and Grok benchmark wins. This tempers expectations from earlier April's 40+ daily average (e.g., 299 posts April 7-14), with 40-64 (27%) gaining traction as bettors speculate Musk is distracted by xAI developments or undisclosed priorities, per market chatter like "he's busy bro." Absent confirmed catalysts like Tesla earnings or major launches, the closely contested lower bins reflect uncertainty in his volatile posting patterns, which spike on viral political commentary or tech updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
NOVO
$66,973 Vol.
NOVO
$66,973 Vol.
18 abr 2026
<40
4%
40-64
27%
65-89
39%
90-114
17%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
NOVO
$66,973 Vol.
NOVO
$66,973 Vol.
18 abr 2026
<40
$13,895 Vol.
4%
40-64
$4,412 Vol.
27%
65-89
$3,083 Vol.
39%
90-114
$2,381 Vol.
17%
115-139
$3,756 Vol.
9%
140-164
$6,037 Vol.
2%
165-189
$7,419 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,683 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,370 Vol.
<1%
240+
$9,025 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X posting from April 16-18, driven by a sharp slowdown in his social media cadence over the past 48 hours—dropping to just a few posts amid SpaceX Starship V3 static fire tests and Grok benchmark wins. This tempers expectations from earlier April's 40+ daily average (e.g., 299 posts April 7-14), with 40-64 (27%) gaining traction as bettors speculate Musk is distracted by xAI developments or undisclosed priorities, per market chatter like "he's busy bro." Absent confirmed catalysts like Tesla earnings or major launches, the closely contested lower bins reflect uncertainty in his volatile posting patterns, which spike on viral political commentary or tech updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$66,973Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X posting from April 16-18, driven by a sharp slowdown in his social media cadence over the past 48 hours—dropping to just a few posts amid SpaceX Starship V3 static fire tests and Grok benchmark wins. This tempers expectations from earlier April's 40+ daily average (e.g., 299 posts April 7-14), with 40-64 (27%) gaining traction as bettors speculate Musk is distracted by xAI developments or undisclosed priorities, per market chatter like "he's busy bro." Absent confirmed catalysts like Tesla earnings or major launches, the closely contested lower bins reflect uncertainty in his volatile posting patterns, which spike on viral political commentary or tech updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$66,973Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 tweets (38.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X posting from April 16-18, driven by a sharp slowdown in his social media cadence over the past 48 hours—dropping to just a few posts amid SpaceX Starship V3 static fire tests and Grok benchmark wins. This tempers expectations from earlier April's 40+ daily average (e.g., 299 posts April 7-14), with 40-64 (27%) gaining traction as bettors speculate Musk is distracted by xAI developments or undisclosed priorities, per market chatter like "he's busy bro." Absent confirmed catalysts like Tesla earnings or major launches, the closely contested lower bins reflect uncertainty in his volatile posting patterns, which spike on viral political commentary or tech updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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