President Trump's recent social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV, labeling the first American pontiff "weak on crime" and inadequate on foreign policy amid the Pope's criticism of U.S. military actions in Iran, have fueled a public feud reported as recently as April 13. Yet trader consensus implies a 71% probability of no further disparagement by April 30, driven by the Pope's composed response expressing "no fear" of the administration, backlash from Catholic leaders and U.S. Republicans against Trump, and historical patterns of his papal tensions—such as with Pope Francis—cooling without prolonged escalation. No new statements emerged in the last 48 hours, signaling potential de-escalation ahead of the deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
30 abr 2026
NOVO
NOVO
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV, labeling the first American pontiff "weak on crime" and inadequate on foreign policy amid the Pope's criticism of U.S. military actions in Iran, have fueled a public feud reported as recently as April 13. Yet trader consensus implies a 71% probability of no further disparagement by April 30, driven by the Pope's composed response expressing "no fear" of the administration, backlash from Catholic leaders and U.S. Republicans against Trump, and historical patterns of his papal tensions—such as with Pope Francis—cooling without prolonged escalation. No new statements emerged in the last 48 hours, signaling potential de-escalation ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$5,330Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV, labeling the first American pontiff "weak on crime" and inadequate on foreign policy amid the Pope's criticism of U.S. military actions in Iran, have fueled a public feud reported as recently as April 13. Yet trader consensus implies a 71% probability of no further disparagement by April 30, driven by the Pope's composed response expressing "no fear" of the administration, backlash from Catholic leaders and U.S. Republicans against Trump, and historical patterns of his papal tensions—such as with Pope Francis—cooling without prolonged escalation. No new statements emerged in the last 48 hours, signaling potential de-escalation ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,330Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent social media attacks on Pope Leo XIV, labeling the first American pontiff "weak on crime" and inadequate on foreign policy amid the Pope's criticism of U.S. military actions in Iran, have fueled a public feud reported as recently as April 13. Yet trader consensus implies a 71% probability of no further disparagement by April 30, driven by the Pope's composed response expressing "no fear" of the administration, backlash from Catholic leaders and U.S. Republicans against Trump, and historical patterns of his papal tensions—such as with Pope Francis—cooling without prolonged escalation. No new statements emerged in the last 48 hours, signaling potential de-escalation ahead of the deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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