President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting pace—75 posts over four days through April 10 at a 19-per-day average—has shaped trader consensus toward the 100-119 range leading at 45%, reflecting sustained high activity amid Iran tensions, including warnings on the Strait of Hormuz and power plant strikes. This follows a 2025 annual average of 18 posts daily, with occasional binges like 158 in one night last December, yet traders discount extremes due to variability, partial April 11 data showing just two posts so far, and historical lulls. The 80-99 (28%) and 120-139 (23%) outcomes trail closely, capturing uncertainty ahead of the April 14-21 window, with no scheduled events but potential escalation in foreign policy driving further posts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado100-119 45%
120-139 24%
80-99 22%
140-159 21%
NOVO
$13,857 Vol.
NOVO
$13,857 Vol.
21 abr 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
20%
80-99
28%
100-119
45%
120-139
24%
140-159
21%
160-179
3%
180-199
2%
200+
19%
100-119 45%
120-139 24%
80-99 22%
140-159 21%
NOVO
$13,857 Vol.
NOVO
$13,857 Vol.
21 abr 2026
<20
$12,085 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$610 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$834 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$162 Vol.
20%
80-99
$50 Vol.
28%
100-119
$0 Vol.
45%
120-139
$0 Vol.
24%
140-159
$0 Vol.
21%
160-179
$23 Vol.
3%
180-199
$54 Vol.
2%
200+
$39 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting pace—75 posts over four days through April 10 at a 19-per-day average—has shaped trader consensus toward the 100-119 range leading at 45%, reflecting sustained high activity amid Iran tensions, including warnings on the Strait of Hormuz and power plant strikes. This follows a 2025 annual average of 18 posts daily, with occasional binges like 158 in one night last December, yet traders discount extremes due to variability, partial April 11 data showing just two posts so far, and historical lulls. The 80-99 (28%) and 120-139 (23%) outcomes trail closely, capturing uncertainty ahead of the April 14-21 window, with no scheduled events but potential escalation in foreign policy driving further posts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$13,857Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting pace—75 posts over four days through April 10 at a 19-per-day average—has shaped trader consensus toward the 100-119 range leading at 45%, reflecting sustained high activity amid Iran tensions, including warnings on the Strait of Hormuz and power plant strikes. This follows a 2025 annual average of 18 posts daily, with occasional binges like 158 in one night last December, yet traders discount extremes due to variability, partial April 11 data showing just two posts so far, and historical lulls. The 80-99 (28%) and 120-139 (23%) outcomes trail closely, capturing uncertainty ahead of the April 14-21 window, with no scheduled events but potential escalation in foreign policy driving further posts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,857Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting pace—75 posts over four days through April 10 at a 19-per-day average—has shaped trader consensus toward the 100-119 range leading at 45%, reflecting sustained high activity amid Iran tensions, including warnings on the Strait of Hormuz and power plant strikes. This follows a 2025 annual average of 18 posts daily, with occasional binges like 158 in one night last December, yet traders discount extremes due to variability, partial April 11 data showing just two posts so far, and historical lulls. The 80-99 (28%) and 120-139 (23%) outcomes trail closely, capturing uncertainty ahead of the April 14-21 window, with no scheduled events but potential escalation in foreign policy driving further posts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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