President Trump's approval rating has dipped to new second-term lows near 36% in recent Reuters/Ipsos and Gallup polls, fueling trader consensus at 60% odds for "Down" this week amid escalating tensions in the Iran war and surging gas prices. High fuel costs, now a top voter concern, have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, as shown in Rasmussen's negative Approval Index trending from -13 to -15 over the past days. Ongoing Middle East conflict debates, including ceasefire talks, compound economic pressures without signs of relief, outweighing positive executive actions like college sports policy. Upcoming fuel data and diplomatic updates could further sway polling averages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTrump approval Up or Down this week?
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Up
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has dipped to new second-term lows near 36% in recent Reuters/Ipsos and Gallup polls, fueling trader consensus at 60% odds for "Down" this week amid escalating tensions in the Iran war and surging gas prices. High fuel costs, now a top voter concern, have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, as shown in Rasmussen's negative Approval Index trending from -13 to -15 over the past days. Ongoing Middle East conflict debates, including ceasefire talks, compound economic pressures without signs of relief, outweighing positive executive actions like college sports policy. Upcoming fuel data and diplomatic updates could further sway polling averages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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