Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posting volume from April 10-17, mirroring his established cadence of 35-37 daily non-reply posts (main feed, quotes, reposts), as confirmed by the March 27-April 3 resolution at 260-279 and April 6-8 tracker data showing 73 posts. This closely contested spread—21.5% for 260-279, 19.5% for 240-259, 18.5% for 280-299—highlights competitive dynamics amid stable patterns, with swing factors including potential spikes from xAI Colossus training updates (like recent 10T model posts) or Tesla/SpaceX news cycles. Absent major viral moments or announcements, historical weekly baselines hold sway, though entertainment unpredictability from real-time engagement could tip outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado260-279 23%
240-259 20%
280-299 19%
220-239 12%
$441,177 Vol.
$441,177 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
12%
240-259
20%
260-279
23%
280-299
19%
300-319
11%
320-339
7%
340-359
3%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 23%
240-259 20%
280-299 19%
220-239 12%
$441,177 Vol.
$441,177 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
12%
240-259
20%
260-279
23%
280-299
19%
300-319
11%
320-339
7%
340-359
3%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posting volume from April 10-17, mirroring his established cadence of 35-37 daily non-reply posts (main feed, quotes, reposts), as confirmed by the March 27-April 3 resolution at 260-279 and April 6-8 tracker data showing 73 posts. This closely contested spread—21.5% for 260-279, 19.5% for 240-259, 18.5% for 280-299—highlights competitive dynamics amid stable patterns, with swing factors including potential spikes from xAI Colossus training updates (like recent 10T model posts) or Tesla/SpaceX news cycles. Absent major viral moments or announcements, historical weekly baselines hold sway, though entertainment unpredictability from real-time engagement could tip outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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