Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" music video, a surprise archival tribute from her album The Life of a Showgirl featuring clips of the screen icon, has amassed over 2.06 million YouTube views in its first four days since April 2 release, fueling trader consensus at 66% implied probability for 3 million+ by week's end on April 9. The strong day-one debut of 1.05 million views—despite its non-traditional fancam-style format lacking new footage—has sustained momentum with steady daily gains around 400,000-500,000, bolstered by widespread media coverage in Variety and ELLE, plus praise from Elizabeth Taylor's estate. Historical precedents for Swift's visuals, like steady accrual on Midnights tracks, support the frontrunner status, though mixed fan reactions and competition from album standouts like "Opalite" cap upside risks; watch final-week streaming surges for resolution shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# of views of Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" video on week 1?
# of views of Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" video on week 1?
3m+ 67%
2.5-2.75m 31%
2.25-2.5m 21.6%
2m-2.25m 12.8%
$11,388 Vol.
$11,388 Vol.
<2m
1%
2m-2.25m
13%
2.25-2.5m
22%
2.5-2.75m
31%
2.75-3m
13%
3m+
67%
3m+ 67%
2.5-2.75m 31%
2.25-2.5m 21.6%
2m-2.25m 12.8%
$11,388 Vol.
$11,388 Vol.
<2m
1%
2m-2.25m
13%
2.25-2.5m
22%
2.5-2.75m
31%
2.75-3m
13%
3m+
67%
This market will resolve according to the number of views Taylor Swift's new "Elizabeth Taylor" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "Elizabeth Taylor" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqbJT_vC0rs), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views Taylor Swift's new "Elizabeth Taylor" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "Elizabeth Taylor" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqbJT_vC0rs), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" music video, a surprise archival tribute from her album The Life of a Showgirl featuring clips of the screen icon, has amassed over 2.06 million YouTube views in its first four days since April 2 release, fueling trader consensus at 66% implied probability for 3 million+ by week's end on April 9. The strong day-one debut of 1.05 million views—despite its non-traditional fancam-style format lacking new footage—has sustained momentum with steady daily gains around 400,000-500,000, bolstered by widespread media coverage in Variety and ELLE, plus praise from Elizabeth Taylor's estate. Historical precedents for Swift's visuals, like steady accrual on Midnights tracks, support the frontrunner status, though mixed fan reactions and competition from album standouts like "Opalite" cap upside risks; watch final-week streaming surges for resolution shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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