Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 X posts by Elon Musk from April 7-14, 2026, with four leading bins at 11.5% implied probability each, reflecting his steady high-volume posting rhythm averaging 34-46 daily per XTracker data. Recent acceleration—92 posts April 2-4 (46/day average)—stems from viral commentary on NYC homelessness spending, DC jury biases, and Grok Imagine promotions, sustaining momentum after March resolved markets hit 220-279 ranges. Low variance in historical patterns keeps contenders neck-and-neck, but spikes could arise from SpaceX updates, Tesla news, or political firestorms amid his DOGE role; lulls unlikely absent major distractions. Watch XTracker for real-time pace into next week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado260-279 13%
280-299 13%
300-319 13%
240-259 12%
NOVO
$124,255 Vol.
NOVO
$124,255 Vol.
14 abr 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
5%
220-239
8%
240-259
12%
260-279
13%
280-299
13%
300-319
13%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
8%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 13%
280-299 13%
300-319 13%
240-259 12%
NOVO
$124,255 Vol.
NOVO
$124,255 Vol.
14 abr 2026
<20
$40,217 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$14,351 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$18,967 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$2,908 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$2,370 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,817 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$2,115 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$1,397 Vol.
1%
180-199
$1,076 Vol.
2%
200-219
$1,296 Vol.
5%
220-239
$1,260 Vol.
8%
240-259
$2,053 Vol.
12%
260-279
$2,581 Vol.
13%
280-299
$3,456 Vol.
13%
300-319
$2,726 Vol.
13%
320-339
$1,752 Vol.
11%
340-359
$1,657 Vol.
9%
360-379
$1,092 Vol.
8%
380-399
$991 Vol.
8%
400-419
$1,301 Vol.
5%
420-439
$1,301 Vol.
3%
440-459
$1,670 Vol.
2%
460-479
$1,331 Vol.
1%
480-499
$1,939 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$1,328 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$1,952 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$2,176 Vol.
<1%
580+
$4,057 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 X posts by Elon Musk from April 7-14, 2026, with four leading bins at 11.5% implied probability each, reflecting his steady high-volume posting rhythm averaging 34-46 daily per XTracker data. Recent acceleration—92 posts April 2-4 (46/day average)—stems from viral commentary on NYC homelessness spending, DC jury biases, and Grok Imagine promotions, sustaining momentum after March resolved markets hit 220-279 ranges. Low variance in historical patterns keeps contenders neck-and-neck, but spikes could arise from SpaceX updates, Tesla news, or political firestorms amid his DOGE role; lulls unlikely absent major distractions. Watch XTracker for real-time pace into next week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$124,255Data de Término
14 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 X posts by Elon Musk from April 7-14, 2026, with four leading bins at 11.5% implied probability each, reflecting his steady high-volume posting rhythm averaging 34-46 daily per XTracker data. Recent acceleration—92 posts April 2-4 (46/day average)—stems from viral commentary on NYC homelessness spending, DC jury biases, and Grok Imagine promotions, sustaining momentum after March resolved markets hit 220-279 ranges. Low variance in historical patterns keeps contenders neck-and-neck, but spikes could arise from SpaceX updates, Tesla news, or political firestorms amid his DOGE role; lulls unlikely absent major distractions. Watch XTracker for real-time pace into next week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 7 12:00 PM ET to April 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$124,255Data de Término
14 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 X posts by Elon Musk from April 7-14, 2026, with four leading bins at 11.5% implied probability each, reflecting his steady high-volume posting rhythm averaging 34-46 daily per XTracker data. Recent acceleration—92 posts April 2-4 (46/day average)—stems from viral commentary on NYC homelessness spending, DC jury biases, and Grok Imagine promotions, sustaining momentum after March resolved markets hit 220-279 ranges. Low variance in historical patterns keeps contenders neck-and-neck, but spikes could arise from SpaceX updates, Tesla news, or political firestorms amid his DOGE role; lulls unlikely absent major distractions. Watch XTracker for real-time pace into next week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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