Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 Elon Musk X posts at 43.5% implied probability for April 9-11, reflecting his recent variable posting pace averaging 30-35 daily amid quieter days like 8 posts on April 1-2 contrasted with peaks of 74 on April 2-3 and 33 on April 5-6. The 40-64 range (24.5%) and 90-114 (21.5%) trail closely, capturing downside risk from low-engagement periods and upside from viral spikes tied to Tesla promotions or xAI announcements, as seen in yesterday's Model S/X inventory alert garnering 20M+ views. With no confirmed events like SpaceX launches or political dust-ups on the horizon, markets anticipate steady cultural commentary driving moderate volume through the Thursday-Saturday window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado65-89 44%
40-64 25%
90-114 22%
115-139 6%
$191,684 Vol.
$191,684 Vol.
11 abr 2026
<40
3%
40-64
25%
65-89
44%
90-114
22%
115-139
6%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 44%
40-64 25%
90-114 22%
115-139 6%
$191,684 Vol.
$191,684 Vol.
11 abr 2026
<40
$22,976 Vol.
3%
40-64
$13,048 Vol.
25%
65-89
$14,696 Vol.
44%
90-114
$11,136 Vol.
22%
115-139
$9,296 Vol.
6%
140-164
$22,902 Vol.
1%
165-189
$16,346 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$27,379 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$10,336 Vol.
<1%
240+
$43,690 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 Elon Musk X posts at 43.5% implied probability for April 9-11, reflecting his recent variable posting pace averaging 30-35 daily amid quieter days like 8 posts on April 1-2 contrasted with peaks of 74 on April 2-3 and 33 on April 5-6. The 40-64 range (24.5%) and 90-114 (21.5%) trail closely, capturing downside risk from low-engagement periods and upside from viral spikes tied to Tesla promotions or xAI announcements, as seen in yesterday's Model S/X inventory alert garnering 20M+ views. With no confirmed events like SpaceX launches or political dust-ups on the horizon, markets anticipate steady cultural commentary driving moderate volume through the Thursday-Saturday window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$191,684Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 Elon Musk X posts at 43.5% implied probability for April 9-11, reflecting his recent variable posting pace averaging 30-35 daily amid quieter days like 8 posts on April 1-2 contrasted with peaks of 74 on April 2-3 and 33 on April 5-6. The 40-64 range (24.5%) and 90-114 (21.5%) trail closely, capturing downside risk from low-engagement periods and upside from viral spikes tied to Tesla promotions or xAI announcements, as seen in yesterday's Model S/X inventory alert garnering 20M+ views. With no confirmed events like SpaceX launches or political dust-ups on the horizon, markets anticipate steady cultural commentary driving moderate volume through the Thursday-Saturday window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$191,684Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 Elon Musk X posts at 43.5% implied probability for April 9-11, reflecting his recent variable posting pace averaging 30-35 daily amid quieter days like 8 posts on April 1-2 contrasted with peaks of 74 on April 2-3 and 33 on April 5-6. The 40-64 range (24.5%) and 90-114 (21.5%) trail closely, capturing downside risk from low-engagement periods and upside from viral spikes tied to Tesla promotions or xAI announcements, as seen in yesterday's Model S/X inventory alert garnering 20M+ views. With no confirmed events like SpaceX launches or political dust-ups on the horizon, markets anticipate steady cultural commentary driving moderate volume through the Thursday-Saturday window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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