Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 240-259 times on X during April 14-21 at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 260-279 (20.5%) and 220-239 (16.5%), reflecting his steady cadence of 30-35 posts daily seen in recent weeks. The prior week (April 3-10) resolved at 240-259, while April 7-14 sits at 136 posts through 57% elapsed—on pace for a similar total amid ongoing SpaceX Artemis II buzz and Tesla FSD updates. Competitive dynamics hinge on viral political commentary or surprise announcements, which could push volume higher; absent catalysts, historical patterns favor the mid-240s cluster. Watch for Starship tests or earnings previews as swing factors in this high-engagement pop culture staple.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado240-259 27%
260-279 21%
220-239 18%
280-299 15%
NOVO
$312,552 Vol.
NOVO
$312,552 Vol.
21 abr 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
18%
240-259
27%
260-279
21%
280-299
15%
300-319
6%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 27%
260-279 21%
220-239 18%
280-299 15%
NOVO
$312,552 Vol.
NOVO
$312,552 Vol.
21 abr 2026
<20
$36,042 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$16,862 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$17,846 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$16,862 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$13,646 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$21,440 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$24,015 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$8,458 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$7,994 Vol.
1%
180-199
$3,402 Vol.
2%
200-219
$4,183 Vol.
6%
220-239
$7,359 Vol.
18%
240-259
$16,615 Vol.
27%
260-279
$8,597 Vol.
21%
280-299
$5,131 Vol.
15%
300-319
$3,109 Vol.
6%
320-339
$4,518 Vol.
3%
340-359
$3,649 Vol.
2%
360-379
$4,094 Vol.
1%
380-399
$3,115 Vol.
1%
400-419
$4,710 Vol.
1%
420-439
$5,497 Vol.
1%
440-459
$3,103 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$5,179 Vol.
1%
480-499
$6,071 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$5,703 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$6,840 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$7,544 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$11,647 Vol.
<1%
580+
$30,885 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 240-259 times on X during April 14-21 at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 260-279 (20.5%) and 220-239 (16.5%), reflecting his steady cadence of 30-35 posts daily seen in recent weeks. The prior week (April 3-10) resolved at 240-259, while April 7-14 sits at 136 posts through 57% elapsed—on pace for a similar total amid ongoing SpaceX Artemis II buzz and Tesla FSD updates. Competitive dynamics hinge on viral political commentary or surprise announcements, which could push volume higher; absent catalysts, historical patterns favor the mid-240s cluster. Watch for Starship tests or earnings previews as swing factors in this high-engagement pop culture staple.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$312,552Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 240-259 times on X during April 14-21 at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 260-279 (20.5%) and 220-239 (16.5%), reflecting his steady cadence of 30-35 posts daily seen in recent weeks. The prior week (April 3-10) resolved at 240-259, while April 7-14 sits at 136 posts through 57% elapsed—on pace for a similar total amid ongoing SpaceX Artemis II buzz and Tesla FSD updates. Competitive dynamics hinge on viral political commentary or surprise announcements, which could push volume higher; absent catalysts, historical patterns favor the mid-240s cluster. Watch for Starship tests or earnings previews as swing factors in this high-engagement pop culture staple.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$312,552Data de Término
21 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 240-259 times on X during April 14-21 at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 260-279 (20.5%) and 220-239 (16.5%), reflecting his steady cadence of 30-35 posts daily seen in recent weeks. The prior week (April 3-10) resolved at 240-259, while April 7-14 sits at 136 posts through 57% elapsed—on pace for a similar total amid ongoing SpaceX Artemis II buzz and Tesla FSD updates. Competitive dynamics hinge on viral political commentary or surprise announcements, which could push volume higher; absent catalysts, historical patterns favor the mid-240s cluster. Watch for Starship tests or earnings previews as swing factors in this high-engagement pop culture staple.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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