Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 47.5% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13, driven by his recent elevated pace of 20-30 posts per day amid high-engagement cultural flashpoints and space milestones. In the past 48 hours, Musk amplified viral moments like NASA's Artemis II astronaut splashdown, Irish bank freeze claims, and Australian jury diversity controversies, sustaining momentum beyond his 8-12 post baseline seen in quieter periods. The trailing 40-64 bucket at 26.5% reflects caution on potential lulls, while higher ranges hover below 25% absent major escalations; weekend news cycles around politics and xAI updates could shift dynamics rapidly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado65-89 48%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
NOVO
$121,206 Vol.
NOVO
$121,206 Vol.
13 abr 2026
Menos de 40
2%
40-64
27%
65-89
48%
90-114
20%
115-139
5%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 48%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
NOVO
$121,206 Vol.
NOVO
$121,206 Vol.
13 abr 2026
Menos de 40
$14,596 Vol.
2%
40-64
$5,178 Vol.
27%
65-89
$9,476 Vol.
48%
90-114
$4,395 Vol.
20%
115-139
$9,867 Vol.
5%
140-164
$10,004 Vol.
1%
165-189
$10,308 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,098 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$21,369 Vol.
<1%
240+
$24,991 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 47.5% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13, driven by his recent elevated pace of 20-30 posts per day amid high-engagement cultural flashpoints and space milestones. In the past 48 hours, Musk amplified viral moments like NASA's Artemis II astronaut splashdown, Irish bank freeze claims, and Australian jury diversity controversies, sustaining momentum beyond his 8-12 post baseline seen in quieter periods. The trailing 40-64 bucket at 26.5% reflects caution on potential lulls, while higher ranges hover below 25% absent major escalations; weekend news cycles around politics and xAI updates could shift dynamics rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$121,206Data de Término
13 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 47.5% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13, driven by his recent elevated pace of 20-30 posts per day amid high-engagement cultural flashpoints and space milestones. In the past 48 hours, Musk amplified viral moments like NASA's Artemis II astronaut splashdown, Irish bank freeze claims, and Australian jury diversity controversies, sustaining momentum beyond his 8-12 post baseline seen in quieter periods. The trailing 40-64 bucket at 26.5% reflects caution on potential lulls, while higher ranges hover below 25% absent major escalations; weekend news cycles around politics and xAI updates could shift dynamics rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$121,206Data de Término
13 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 47.5% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13, driven by his recent elevated pace of 20-30 posts per day amid high-engagement cultural flashpoints and space milestones. In the past 48 hours, Musk amplified viral moments like NASA's Artemis II astronaut splashdown, Irish bank freeze claims, and Australian jury diversity controversies, sustaining momentum beyond his 8-12 post baseline seen in quieter periods. The trailing 40-64 bucket at 26.5% reflects caution on potential lulls, while higher ranges hover below 25% absent major escalations; weekend news cycles around politics and xAI updates could shift dynamics rapidly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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