Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts April 17-24, reflecting his recent benchmark of 299 posts April 7-14 (43/day average) amid viral spikes from South Africa farm attack commentary and Grok-4.20's top healthcare benchmark, but moderated by a sharp slowdown to 33 posts April 13-15 during Starship V3 static fire prep. The neck-and-neck leading bins (260-279 at 16.5%, 240-259 at 15.5%, 280-299 at 14.5%) underscore uncertainty in his erratic posting rhythm—driven by real-time news hooks like SpaceX milestones or political firestorms—versus quieter stretches without catalysts. Watch for Tesla updates or xAI announcements to tip momentum higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 15%
300-319 14%
NOVO
$521,699 Vol.
NOVO
$521,699 Vol.
24 abr 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
3%
200-219
8%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
15%
300-319
14%
320-339
9%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 15%
300-319 14%
NOVO
$521,699 Vol.
NOVO
$521,699 Vol.
24 abr 2026
<20
$35,939 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$17,858 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$16,166 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$17,865 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$61,376 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$6,423 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$9,537 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$12,322 Vol.
1%
160-179
$7,908 Vol.
2%
180-199
$11,679 Vol.
3%
200-219
$11,932 Vol.
8%
220-239
$5,852 Vol.
10%
240-259
$11,779 Vol.
16%
260-279
$11,708 Vol.
17%
280-299
$17,686 Vol.
15%
300-319
$9,584 Vol.
14%
320-339
$5,245 Vol.
9%
340-359
$6,043 Vol.
5%
360-379
$6,704 Vol.
4%
380-399
$7,259 Vol.
2%
400-419
$12,258 Vol.
1%
420-439
$8,180 Vol.
1%
440-459
$8,178 Vol.
1%
460-479
$13,062 Vol.
1%
480-499
$4,339 Vol.
1%
500-519
$3,060 Vol.
1%
520-539
$17,050 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$25,835 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$73,513 Vol.
<1%
580+
$65,568 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts April 17-24, reflecting his recent benchmark of 299 posts April 7-14 (43/day average) amid viral spikes from South Africa farm attack commentary and Grok-4.20's top healthcare benchmark, but moderated by a sharp slowdown to 33 posts April 13-15 during Starship V3 static fire prep. The neck-and-neck leading bins (260-279 at 16.5%, 240-259 at 15.5%, 280-299 at 14.5%) underscore uncertainty in his erratic posting rhythm—driven by real-time news hooks like SpaceX milestones or political firestorms—versus quieter stretches without catalysts. Watch for Tesla updates or xAI announcements to tip momentum higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$521,699Data de Término
24 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts April 17-24, reflecting his recent benchmark of 299 posts April 7-14 (43/day average) amid viral spikes from South Africa farm attack commentary and Grok-4.20's top healthcare benchmark, but moderated by a sharp slowdown to 33 posts April 13-15 during Starship V3 static fire prep. The neck-and-neck leading bins (260-279 at 16.5%, 240-259 at 15.5%, 280-299 at 14.5%) underscore uncertainty in his erratic posting rhythm—driven by real-time news hooks like SpaceX milestones or political firestorms—versus quieter stretches without catalysts. Watch for Tesla updates or xAI announcements to tip momentum higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$521,699Data de Término
24 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts April 17-24, reflecting his recent benchmark of 299 posts April 7-14 (43/day average) amid viral spikes from South Africa farm attack commentary and Grok-4.20's top healthcare benchmark, but moderated by a sharp slowdown to 33 posts April 13-15 during Starship V3 static fire prep. The neck-and-neck leading bins (260-279 at 16.5%, 240-259 at 15.5%, 280-299 at 14.5%) underscore uncertainty in his erratic posting rhythm—driven by real-time news hooks like SpaceX milestones or political firestorms—versus quieter stretches without catalysts. Watch for Tesla updates or xAI announcements to tip momentum higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions