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icon for Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar
Política·Eleições Globais

Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar
Política·Eleições Globais

Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar

Juiz Ramon Moreira 44%

Marco Antônio Superman 44%

Carlos Viana 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Polymarket
NOVO

Juiz Ramon Moreira 44%

Marco Antônio Superman 44%

Carlos Viana 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$20 Vol.

10%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$20 Vol.

9%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$20 Vol.

35%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Minas Gerais's two Senate seats on October 4 show a tight contest among leading candidates, with Marília Campos (PT), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Domingos Sávio (PL) frequently trading or tying for the top position in surveys from Quaest, Ipan, and Real Time Big Data. This fragmentation, combined with Aécio Neves's withdrawal and shifting party alignments ahead of official campaigning, sustains the even trader pricing around 44-45% for the frontrunners in the 1st-place market. Factors that could open gaps include further polling shifts, coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key voting blocs in Brazil's second-most populous state.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$60
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Minas Gerais's two Senate seats on October 4 show a tight contest among leading candidates, with Marília Campos (PT), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Domingos Sávio (PL) frequently trading or tying for the top position in surveys from Quaest, Ipan, and Real Time Big Data. This fragmentation, combined with Aécio Neves's withdrawal and shifting party alignments ahead of official campaigning, sustains the even trader pricing around 44-45% for the frontrunners in the 1st-place market. Factors that could open gaps include further polling shifts, coalition endorsements, or turnout patterns among key voting blocs in Brazil's second-most populous state.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$60
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juiz Ramon Moreira" at 45%, followed by "Marco Antônio Superman" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar" is "Juiz Ramon Moreira" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Antônio Superman" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Minas Gerais: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.