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icon for Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Tecnologia·IA

Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?

icon for Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Tecnologia·IA

Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?

out 1

out 31

out 1

out 31

16 de outubro 49%

19 de outubro 49%

24 de outubro 27%

18 de outubro 24%

Polymarket
NOVO

16 de outubro 49%

19 de outubro 49%

24 de outubro 27%

18 de outubro 24%

Polymarket
NOVO

Em ou antes de 1º de outubro

$58 Vol.

12%

2 de outubro

$39 Vol.

1%

3 de outubro

$50 Vol.

5%

4 de outubro

$50 Vol.

5%

5 de outubro

$39 Vol.

1%

6 de outubro

$50 Vol.

7%

7 de outubro

$50 Vol.

14%

8 de outubro

$50 Vol.

10%

9 de outubro

$39 Vol.

1%

10 de outubro

$50 Vol.

11%

11 de outubro

$50 Vol.

9%

12 de outubro

$50 Vol.

9%

13 de outubro

$50 Vol.

13%

14 de outubro

$50 Vol.

5%

15 de outubro

$50 Vol.

12%

16 de outubro

$42 Vol.

49%

17 de outubro

$50 Vol.

5%

18 de outubro

$42 Vol.

24%

19 de outubro

$42 Vol.

49%

20 de outubro

$42 Vol.

24%

21 de outubro

$53 Vol.

13%

22 de outubro

$50 Vol.

7%

23 de outubro

$50 Vol.

6%

24 de outubro

$42 Vol.

27%

25 de outubro

$50 Vol.

5%

26 de outubro

$50 Vol.

7%

27 de outubro

$42 Vol.

13%

28 de outubro

$50 Vol.

5%

29 de outubro

$50 Vol.

13%

30 de outubro

$50 Vol.

6%

31 de outubro

$50 Vol.

5%

Nenhum lançamento até 31 de outubro

$55 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's history of repeated delays on flagship Gemini Pro releases, including the prolonged slippage of Gemini 3.5 Pro beyond its May 2026 I/O promise and July target, combined with the recent September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash, forms the main driver behind the evenly distributed October probabilities. Traders see the next Pro variant as likely falling in early-to-mid October amid ongoing internal testing, partner feedback integration, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, yet the lack of firm public timelines or confirmed benchmarks creates the observed 23–25% clustering across multiple dates. This uncertainty reflects Google's conservative rollout approach for frontier large language models and the typical 30-day cadence between major updates, with no release by month-end holding only 14.5% implied odds.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,537
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's history of repeated delays on flagship Gemini Pro releases, including the prolonged slippage of Gemini 3.5 Pro beyond its May 2026 I/O promise and July target, combined with the recent September 2 launch of Gemini 3.8 Flash, forms the main driver behind the evenly distributed October probabilities. Traders see the next Pro variant as likely falling in early-to-mid October amid ongoing internal testing, partner feedback integration, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, yet the lack of firm public timelines or confirmed benchmarks creates the observed 23–25% clustering across multiple dates. This uncertainty reflects Google's conservative rollout approach for frontier large language models and the typical 30-day cadence between major updates, with no release by month-end holding only 14.5% implied odds.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,537
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "16 de outubro" at 25%, followed by "19 de outubro" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is "16 de outubro" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "19 de outubro" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Modelo Gemini Pro lançado em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.