Trader consensus prices "Something" at 62% amid escalating US-Iran tensions, highlighted by President Trump's April 1 address claiming the war is nearing completion while vowing intensified strikes over coming weeks, as US Central Command reports over 12,000 targets hit and Iran launches retaliatory drones and missiles. WTI crude oil has surged above $107 per barrel on Middle East volatility, raising tail risks for a $200 threshold. The Federal Reserve's April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms with potential for policy shifts despite high odds of steady rates, alongside Trump's recent "Cuba next" rhetoric spurring diplomatic talks and ongoing Epstein file fallout without new US arrests, positioning multiple triggers within the month's resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNothing Ever Happens: April
Nothing Ever Happens: April
Nothing
Nothing
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Something" at 62% amid escalating US-Iran tensions, highlighted by President Trump's April 1 address claiming the war is nearing completion while vowing intensified strikes over coming weeks, as US Central Command reports over 12,000 targets hit and Iran launches retaliatory drones and missiles. WTI crude oil has surged above $107 per barrel on Middle East volatility, raising tail risks for a $200 threshold. The Federal Reserve's April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms with potential for policy shifts despite high odds of steady rates, alongside Trump's recent "Cuba next" rhetoric spurring diplomatic talks and ongoing Epstein file fallout without new US arrests, positioning multiple triggers within the month's resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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