The by-election for the Calabria-05 uninominal seat in Italy’s Chamber of Deputies, vacated after Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation to become Reggio Calabria mayor, is set for 27-28 September 2026 across 71 municipalities. Trader consensus shows a narrow edge for Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli, backed by the center-right coalition, over Frank Benedetto’s broad center-left alliance and Domenico Giannetta’s Futuro Nazionale candidacy tied to Roberto Vannacci. The race remains tightly contested due to vote fragmentation on the right, historically low by-election turnout that rewards localized mobilization, and the absence of recent polling that would clarify preference shifts. Campaign activity has focused on local visibility efforts and coalition unity statements, with any late endorsements or turnout surges likely to widen or narrow the gaps among the leading contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFrank Benedetto 56%
Fabio Roscioli 39%
Domenico Giannetta 25%
Francesco Toscano 16%

Frank Benedetto
56%

Fabio Roscioli
39%

Domenico Giannetta
25%

Francesco Toscano
16%
Frank Benedetto 56%
Fabio Roscioli 39%
Domenico Giannetta 25%
Francesco Toscano 16%

Frank Benedetto
56%

Fabio Roscioli
39%

Domenico Giannetta
25%

Francesco Toscano
16%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Fonte de resolução
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The by-election for the Calabria-05 uninominal seat in Italy’s Chamber of Deputies, vacated after Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation to become Reggio Calabria mayor, is set for 27-28 September 2026 across 71 municipalities. Trader consensus shows a narrow edge for Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli, backed by the center-right coalition, over Frank Benedetto’s broad center-left alliance and Domenico Giannetta’s Futuro Nazionale candidacy tied to Roberto Vannacci. The race remains tightly contested due to vote fragmentation on the right, historically low by-election turnout that rewards localized mobilization, and the absence of recent polling that would clarify preference shifts. Campaign activity has focused on local visibility efforts and coalition unity statements, with any late endorsements or turnout surges likely to widen or narrow the gaps among the leading contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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