**The Senate's repeated failure to advance H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, underpins the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026.** Versions passed the House in 2025 and February 2026, yet Senate attempts—including amendments to DHS funding and the NDAA—failed, most notably a June 2026 procedural vote at 48-50 where four Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there are insufficient votes to overcome the filibuster or to bring the measure back for debate before the session ends. President Trump's efforts to tie the bill to must-pass legislation, such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, produced no breakthrough, and the 2026 midterm timeline leaves limited remaining legislative days. These confirmed procedural and vote-count barriers explain the current implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
7% chance
$191,587 Vol.
$191,587 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
7% chance
$191,587 Vol.
$191,587 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Senate's repeated failure to advance H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, underpins the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026.** Versions passed the House in 2025 and February 2026, yet Senate attempts—including amendments to DHS funding and the NDAA—failed, most notably a June 2026 procedural vote at 48-50 where four Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there are insufficient votes to overcome the filibuster or to bring the measure back for debate before the session ends. President Trump's efforts to tie the bill to must-pass legislation, such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, produced no breakthrough, and the 2026 midterm timeline leaves limited remaining legislative days. These confirmed procedural and vote-count barriers explain the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$191,587Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Senate's repeated failure to advance H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, underpins the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026.** Versions passed the House in 2025 and February 2026, yet Senate attempts—including amendments to DHS funding and the NDAA—failed, most notably a June 2026 procedural vote at 48-50 where four Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there are insufficient votes to overcome the filibuster or to bring the measure back for debate before the session ends. President Trump's efforts to tie the bill to must-pass legislation, such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, produced no breakthrough, and the 2026 midterm timeline leaves limited remaining legislative days. These confirmed procedural and vote-count barriers explain the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,587Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The Senate's repeated failure to advance H.R. 22, the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, underpins the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026.** Versions passed the House in 2025 and February 2026, yet Senate attempts—including amendments to DHS funding and the NDAA—failed, most notably a June 2026 procedural vote at 48-50 where four Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there are insufficient votes to overcome the filibuster or to bring the measure back for debate before the session ends. President Trump's efforts to tie the bill to must-pass legislation, such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, produced no breakthrough, and the 2026 midterm timeline leaves limited remaining legislative days. These confirmed procedural and vote-count barriers explain the current implied probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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