Recent polling in Sergipe for the two 2026 Senate seats reveals a highly fragmented field of roughly 11 contenders, with no candidate consistently exceeding the low-to-mid teens in vote intention and large shares of undecided respondents. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered in the mid-20s for frontrunners such as Eduardo Amorim and Delegado Alessandro, while others trail slightly behind. Party labels including Republicanos, União Brasil, MDB, PT, PL, and PDT divide the electorate without a dominant coalition or incumbent advantage emerging yet. Upcoming candidate registrations, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys in the coming weeks could consolidate support or shift momentum before October voting. The absence of major scandals or defining events has so far preserved the competitive balance reflected in current trader pricing.