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Vencedor da eleição municipal de Haia

Market icon

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Haia

Coração por Haia (HvDH) 81%

Democratas 66 (D66) 15%

GroenLinks–Partido Trabalhista (GL–PvdA) 1.1%

Fórum para a Democracia (FvD) <1%

Polymarket

$36,024 Vol.

Coração por Haia (HvDH) 81%

Democratas 66 (D66) 15%

GroenLinks–Partido Trabalhista (GL–PvdA) 1.1%

Fórum para a Democracia (FvD) <1%

Polymarket

$36,024 Vol.

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Coração por Haia (HvDH)

$7,131 Vol.

81%

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Democratas 66 (D66)

$7,830 Vol.

15%

Market icon

GroenLinks–Partido Trabalhista (GL–PvdA)

$6,050 Vol.

1%

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Fórum para a Democracia (FvD)

$0 Vol.

1%

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Apelo Democrata Cristão (CDA)

$6,768 Vol.

<1%

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União Cristã–SGP (CU–SGP)

$4,375 Vol.

<1%

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Partido Popular para a Liberdade e Democracia (VVD)

$3,870 Vol.

<1%

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Partido para os Animais (PvdD)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Denk (Denk)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Partido da Cidade de Haia (HSP)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Partido Socialista (SP)

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Partido pela Liberdade (PVV)

$0 Vol.

<1%

Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Volume
$36,024
Data de Término
Mar 18, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 12, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Haia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Coração por Haia (HvDH)" at 81%, followed by "Democratas 66 (D66)" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Haia" has generated $36K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Haia," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Haia" is "Coração por Haia (HvDH)" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Democratas 66 (D66)" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Haia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.