Recent polling averages from sources including RealClearPolitics, Ballotpedia, and Rasmussen place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, reflecting steady but low readings amid his second term. Ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, now at the six-month mark, combined with voter concerns over inflation, tariffs, and trade tensions have kept net approval near -20. Immigration enforcement actions and fentanyl-related declines offer limited offsets. With September 4 approaching and no major scheduled catalysts expected to shift aggregates sharply in the next week, trader consensus concentrates probability on approval landing in the 38.0–38.4 range, consistent with the narrow band observed across recent surveys.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado38,0–38,4 48%
39,0+ 27%
37,5–37,9 26%
38,5–38,9 25%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
<37,0
11%
37,0–37,4
25%
37,5–37,9
26%
38,0–38,4
48%
38,5–38,9
25%
39,0+
27%
38,0–38,4 48%
39,0+ 27%
37,5–37,9 26%
38,5–38,9 25%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
<37,0
$20 Vol.
11%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
25%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
26%
38,0–38,4
$0 Vol.
48%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
25%
39,0+
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including RealClearPolitics, Ballotpedia, and Rasmussen place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, reflecting steady but low readings amid his second term. Ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, now at the six-month mark, combined with voter concerns over inflation, tariffs, and trade tensions have kept net approval near -20. Immigration enforcement actions and fentanyl-related declines offer limited offsets. With September 4 approaching and no major scheduled catalysts expected to shift aggregates sharply in the next week, trader consensus concentrates probability on approval landing in the 38.0–38.4 range, consistent with the narrow band observed across recent surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$20Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including RealClearPolitics, Ballotpedia, and Rasmussen place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, reflecting steady but low readings amid his second term. Ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, now at the six-month mark, combined with voter concerns over inflation, tariffs, and trade tensions have kept net approval near -20. Immigration enforcement actions and fentanyl-related declines offer limited offsets. With September 4 approaching and no major scheduled catalysts expected to shift aggregates sharply in the next week, trader consensus concentrates probability on approval landing in the 38.0–38.4 range, consistent with the narrow band observed across recent surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$20Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages from sources including RealClearPolitics, Ballotpedia, and Rasmussen place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, reflecting steady but low readings amid his second term. Ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, now at the six-month mark, combined with voter concerns over inflation, tariffs, and trade tensions have kept net approval near -20. Immigration enforcement actions and fentanyl-related declines offer limited offsets. With September 4 approaching and no major scheduled catalysts expected to shift aggregates sharply in the next week, trader consensus concentrates probability on approval landing in the 38.0–38.4 range, consistent with the narrow band observed across recent surveys.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions