SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and pricing guidance have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T band. The company set its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, implying an initial equity valuation near $1.75 trillion ahead of the expected mid-June Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. This marks a sharp step-up from the $1.25 trillion mark established after the February xAI merger and earlier private rounds near $800 billion. Strong institutional demand during the roadshow, combined with Starlink revenue momentum and Starship progress, supports the pricing. While some independent models such as Morningstar’s place fair value materially lower, the skin-in-the-game capital behind the offering price continues to dominate near-term market-implied odds; a material post-listing re-rating or adverse macroeconomic shift in risk appetite could still alter final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?
Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?
1,75-2,00T 95%
1,50-1,75T 2.7%
1,25-1,50T 1.9%
2,00-2,25T 1.8%
$208,415 Vol.
$208,415 Vol.
<1,25T
<1%
1,25-1,50T
2%
1,50-1,75T
3%
1,75-2,00T
95%
2,00-2,25T
2%
2,25-2,50T
1%
2,50T+
<1%
1,75-2,00T 95%
1,50-1,75T 2.7%
1,25-1,50T 1.9%
2,00-2,25T 1.8%
$208,415 Vol.
$208,415 Vol.
<1,25T
$67,258 Vol.
<1%
1,25-1,50T
$20,759 Vol.
2%
1,50-1,75T
$17,827 Vol.
3%
1,75-2,00T
$37,733 Vol.
95%
2,00-2,25T
$22,761 Vol.
2%
2,25-2,50T
$17,574 Vol.
1%
2,50T+
$24,502 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and pricing guidance have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T band. The company set its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, implying an initial equity valuation near $1.75 trillion ahead of the expected mid-June Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. This marks a sharp step-up from the $1.25 trillion mark established after the February xAI merger and earlier private rounds near $800 billion. Strong institutional demand during the roadshow, combined with Starlink revenue momentum and Starship progress, supports the pricing. While some independent models such as Morningstar’s place fair value materially lower, the skin-in-the-game capital behind the offering price continues to dominate near-term market-implied odds; a material post-listing re-rating or adverse macroeconomic shift in risk appetite could still alter final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$208,415Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and pricing guidance have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T band. The company set its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, implying an initial equity valuation near $1.75 trillion ahead of the expected mid-June Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. This marks a sharp step-up from the $1.25 trillion mark established after the February xAI merger and earlier private rounds near $800 billion. Strong institutional demand during the roadshow, combined with Starlink revenue momentum and Starship progress, supports the pricing. While some independent models such as Morningstar’s place fair value materially lower, the skin-in-the-game capital behind the offering price continues to dominate near-term market-implied odds; a material post-listing re-rating or adverse macroeconomic shift in risk appetite could still alter final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$208,415Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and pricing guidance have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T band. The company set its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, implying an initial equity valuation near $1.75 trillion ahead of the expected mid-June Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX. This marks a sharp step-up from the $1.25 trillion mark established after the February xAI merger and earlier private rounds near $800 billion. Strong institutional demand during the roadshow, combined with Starlink revenue momentum and Starship progress, supports the pricing. While some independent models such as Morningstar’s place fair value materially lower, the skin-in-the-game capital behind the offering price continues to dominate near-term market-implied odds; a material post-listing re-rating or adverse macroeconomic shift in risk appetite could still alter final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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