**SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation while raising a record $75 billion, underpins the 91.3% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T outcome.** This reflects robust institutional and retail demand exceeding $70–250 billion in orders, fueled by Starlink’s revenue trajectory—reaching roughly $18.7 billion in 2025—and SpaceX’s dominance in orbital launches. The implied multiple near 90–96x trailing revenue signals aggressive growth assumptions around Starship development and satellite expansion. While trader consensus aligns closely with the final offering terms, realistic shifts could arise from last-minute allocation adjustments, post-debut trading volatility on the June 12 Nasdaq listing, or regulatory scrutiny affecting perceived execution risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?
Qual será a avaliação de IPO da SpaceX?
1,75-2,00T 93.2%
1,50-1,75T 8.4%
2,00-2,25T 2.4%
2,25-2,50T <1%
$239,447 Vol.
$239,447 Vol.
<1,25T
<1%
1,25-1,50T
<1%
1,50-1,75T
9%
1,75-2,00T
93%
2,00-2,25T
2%
2,25-2,50T
<1%
2,50T+
<1%
1,75-2,00T 93.2%
1,50-1,75T 8.4%
2,00-2,25T 2.4%
2,25-2,50T <1%
$239,447 Vol.
$239,447 Vol.
<1,25T
$71,614 Vol.
<1%
1,25-1,50T
$23,306 Vol.
<1%
1,50-1,75T
$22,317 Vol.
9%
1,75-2,00T
$49,383 Vol.
93%
2,00-2,25T
$26,778 Vol.
2%
2,25-2,50T
$19,255 Vol.
<1%
2,50T+
$26,808 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation while raising a record $75 billion, underpins the 91.3% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T outcome.** This reflects robust institutional and retail demand exceeding $70–250 billion in orders, fueled by Starlink’s revenue trajectory—reaching roughly $18.7 billion in 2025—and SpaceX’s dominance in orbital launches. The implied multiple near 90–96x trailing revenue signals aggressive growth assumptions around Starship development and satellite expansion. While trader consensus aligns closely with the final offering terms, realistic shifts could arise from last-minute allocation adjustments, post-debut trading volatility on the June 12 Nasdaq listing, or regulatory scrutiny affecting perceived execution risk.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$239,447Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation while raising a record $75 billion, underpins the 91.3% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T outcome.** This reflects robust institutional and retail demand exceeding $70–250 billion in orders, fueled by Starlink’s revenue trajectory—reaching roughly $18.7 billion in 2025—and SpaceX’s dominance in orbital launches. The implied multiple near 90–96x trailing revenue signals aggressive growth assumptions around Starship development and satellite expansion. While trader consensus aligns closely with the final offering terms, realistic shifts could arise from last-minute allocation adjustments, post-debut trading volatility on the June 12 Nasdaq listing, or regulatory scrutiny affecting perceived execution risk.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$239,447Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation while raising a record $75 billion, underpins the 91.3% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T outcome.** This reflects robust institutional and retail demand exceeding $70–250 billion in orders, fueled by Starlink’s revenue trajectory—reaching roughly $18.7 billion in 2025—and SpaceX’s dominance in orbital launches. The implied multiple near 90–96x trailing revenue signals aggressive growth assumptions around Starship development and satellite expansion. While trader consensus aligns closely with the final offering terms, realistic shifts could arise from last-minute allocation adjustments, post-debut trading volatility on the June 12 Nasdaq listing, or regulatory scrutiny affecting perceived execution risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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