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Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?

icon for Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?

Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$288 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$288 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.Official measurements from the Central Park weather station recorded zero precipitation on June 9, 2026, with partly sunny to clear conditions prevailing under a stable high-pressure pattern. National Weather Service data and hourly observations confirmed no measurable rainfall, aligning with model consensus that kept the region dry despite typical early-June humidity levels around 50-60%. This observational certainty underpins the market's 100% implied probability for "No." While trace amounts below gauge thresholds or highly localized sprinkles could theoretically arise in rare microclimates, verified station records and surrounding regional reports make such outcomes negligible for resolution criteria based on standard precipitation thresholds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.

Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
Volume
$288
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.Official measurements from the Central Park weather station recorded zero precipitation on June 9, 2026, with partly sunny to clear conditions prevailing under a stable high-pressure pattern. National Weather Service data and hourly observations confirmed no measurable rainfall, aligning with model consensus that kept the region dry despite typical early-June humidity levels around 50-60%. This observational certainty underpins the market's 100% implied probability for "No." While trace amounts below gauge thresholds or highly localized sprinkles could theoretically arise in rare microclimates, verified station records and surrounding regional reports make such outcomes negligible for resolution criteria based on standard precipitation thresholds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.

Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
Volume
$288
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.