Polymarket traders price a 41.5% implied probability for a Bank of Korea policy rate increase in July, edging out decrease and no change both at 36.5%, underscoring a closely contested market amid balanced risks to inflation and growth. This sentiment crystallized after the BoK's unanimous April 10 decision to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% for the seventh consecutive meeting, citing ongoing inflation pressures from March 2026 CPI at 2.2% year-over-year—above the 2% target—and Middle East tensions curbing shipping and supply chains. Moderating GDP growth forecasts near 1.9% for 2026 limit easing bets, with key differentiators hinging on upcoming April-May CPI releases, Q1 GDP data, employment trends, and the May 28 policy meeting before July's resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Increase 52%
Decrease 34%
No Change 31%
Decrease
34%
No Change
26%
Increase
44%
Increase 52%
Decrease 34%
No Change 31%
Decrease
34%
No Change
26%
Increase
44%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 41.5% implied probability for a Bank of Korea policy rate increase in July, edging out decrease and no change both at 36.5%, underscoring a closely contested market amid balanced risks to inflation and growth. This sentiment crystallized after the BoK's unanimous April 10 decision to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% for the seventh consecutive meeting, citing ongoing inflation pressures from March 2026 CPI at 2.2% year-over-year—above the 2% target—and Middle East tensions curbing shipping and supply chains. Moderating GDP growth forecasts near 1.9% for 2026 limit easing bets, with key differentiators hinging on upcoming April-May CPI releases, Q1 GDP data, employment trends, and the May 28 policy meeting before July's resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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