**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in South Korea’s National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for impeachment unattainable without major defections from ruling-party lawmakers.** This structural barrier has kept trader-implied probabilities for removal before 2027 low. Lee took office in June 2025 following the Constitutional Court’s upholding of Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment; the DP retained its commanding legislative position after the April 2024 general election and further consolidated support in the June 2026 local elections. Lee’s approval ratings have remained in the high 50s to mid-60s range, reflecting broad public backing one year into his term. Isolated opposition petitions, including one that gathered over 100,000 signatures in June 2026, have failed to advance because the DP controls the legislative agenda and committee process. No significant scandals, policy reversals, or shifts in Assembly composition have emerged that would alter this balance before the 2027 threshold. The next National Assembly election is scheduled for 2028, leaving the current supermajority intact through the market’s resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛи Чжэ Мён был подвергнут импичменту до 2027 года?
Ли Чжэ Мён был подвергнут импичменту до 2027 года?
Да
11% вероятность
$21,566 Объем
$21,566 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
11% вероятность
$21,566 Объем
$21,566 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in South Korea’s National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for impeachment unattainable without major defections from ruling-party lawmakers.**
This structural barrier has kept trader-implied probabilities for removal before 2027 low. Lee took office in June 2025 following the Constitutional Court’s upholding of Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment; the DP retained its commanding legislative position after the April 2024 general election and further consolidated support in the June 2026 local elections.
Lee’s approval ratings have remained in the high 50s to mid-60s range, reflecting broad public backing one year into his term. Isolated opposition petitions, including one that gathered over 100,000 signatures in June 2026, have failed to advance because the DP controls the legislative agenda and committee process.
No significant scandals, policy reversals, or shifts in Assembly composition have emerged that would alter this balance before the 2027 threshold. The next National Assembly election is scheduled for 2028, leaving the current supermajority intact through the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$21,566Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in South Korea’s National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for impeachment unattainable without major defections from ruling-party lawmakers.**
This structural barrier has kept trader-implied probabilities for removal before 2027 low. Lee took office in June 2025 following the Constitutional Court’s upholding of Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment; the DP retained its commanding legislative position after the April 2024 general election and further consolidated support in the June 2026 local elections.
Lee’s approval ratings have remained in the high 50s to mid-60s range, reflecting broad public backing one year into his term. Isolated opposition petitions, including one that gathered over 100,000 signatures in June 2026, have failed to advance because the DP controls the legislative agenda and committee process.
No significant scandals, policy reversals, or shifts in Assembly composition have emerged that would alter this balance before the 2027 threshold. The next National Assembly election is scheduled for 2028, leaving the current supermajority intact through the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$21,566Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in South Korea’s National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for impeachment unattainable without major defections from ruling-party lawmakers.** This structural barrier has kept trader-implied probabilities for removal before 2027 low. Lee took office in June 2025 following the Constitutional Court’s upholding of Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment; the DP retained its commanding legislative position after the April 2024 general election and further consolidated support in the June 2026 local elections. Lee’s approval ratings have remained in the high 50s to mid-60s range, reflecting broad public backing one year into his term. Isolated opposition petitions, including one that gathered over 100,000 signatures in June 2026, have failed to advance because the DP controls the legislative agenda and committee process. No significant scandals, policy reversals, or shifts in Assembly composition have emerged that would alter this balance before the 2027 threshold. The next National Assembly election is scheduled for 2028, leaving the current supermajority intact through the market’s resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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