Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which she entered a not-guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment. A July 22, 2026, hearing set the joint trial date for June 1, 2027, with no bail application filed and detention continued by the court. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline, absence of any announced plea discussions or diplomatic arrangements that could prompt earlier release, and the structural barriers posed by ongoing federal proceedings against a high-profile foreign defendant. Potential catalysts include future court rulings on immunity claims, changes in U.S. executive policy toward Venezuela, or unconfirmed negotiation tracks between the two governments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЖена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?
Жена Мадуро Силия Флорес освобождена из-под стражи...?
$1,375,004 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
31 декабря
17%
$1,375,004 Объем
31 декабря
$328,403 Объем
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which she entered a not-guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment. A July 22, 2026, hearing set the joint trial date for June 1, 2027, with no bail application filed and detention continued by the court. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline, absence of any announced plea discussions or diplomatic arrangements that could prompt earlier release, and the structural barriers posed by ongoing federal proceedings against a high-profile foreign defendant. Potential catalysts include future court rulings on immunity claims, changes in U.S. executive policy toward Venezuela, or unconfirmed negotiation tracks between the two governments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Объем
$1,375,004Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which she entered a not-guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment. A July 22, 2026, hearing set the joint trial date for June 1, 2027, with no bail application filed and detention continued by the court. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline, absence of any announced plea discussions or diplomatic arrangements that could prompt earlier release, and the structural barriers posed by ongoing federal proceedings against a high-profile foreign defendant. Potential catalysts include future court rulings on immunity claims, changes in U.S. executive policy toward Venezuela, or unconfirmed negotiation tracks between the two governments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,375,004Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York, to which she entered a not-guilty plea at her January 5 arraignment. A July 22, 2026, hearing set the joint trial date for June 1, 2027, with no bail application filed and detention continued by the court. Trader sentiment reflects the extended timeline, absence of any announced plea discussions or diplomatic arrangements that could prompt earlier release, and the structural barriers posed by ongoing federal proceedings against a high-profile foreign defendant. Potential catalysts include future court rulings on immunity claims, changes in U.S. executive policy toward Venezuela, or unconfirmed negotiation tracks between the two governments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы