Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКлод 4.7 выпущен на...?
Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?
16 апреля или ранее 81%
17 апреля 9.3%
Не выпущен до 30 апреля 1.9%
20 апреля 1.3%
НОВОЕ
$105,782 Объем
НОВОЕ
$105,782 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
16 апреля или ранее
81%
17 апреля
9%
18 апреля
<1%
19 апреля
<1%
20 апреля
1%
21 апреля
1%
22 апреля
<1%
23 апреля
1%
24 апреля
<1%
25 апреля
<1%
26 апреля
<1%
27 апреля
<1%
28 апреля
<1%
29 апреля
<1%
30 апреля
<1%
Не выпущен до 30 апреля
2%
16 апреля или ранее 81%
17 апреля 9.3%
Не выпущен до 30 апреля 1.9%
20 апреля 1.3%
НОВОЕ
$105,782 Объем
НОВОЕ
$105,782 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
16 апреля или ранее
$50,091 Объем
81%
17 апреля
$8,744 Объем
9%
18 апреля
$5,344 Объем
<1%
19 апреля
$4,288 Объем
<1%
20 апреля
$4,392 Объем
1%
21 апреля
$3,567 Объем
1%
22 апреля
$2,976 Объем
<1%
23 апреля
$2,736 Объем
1%
24 апреля
$2,781 Объем
<1%
25 апреля
$3,122 Объем
<1%
26 апреля
$3,051 Объем
<1%
27 апреля
$3,027 Объем
<1%
28 апреля
$2,072 Объем
<1%
29 апреля
$1,922 Объем
<1%
30 апреля
$1,571 Объем
<1%
Не выпущен до 30 апреля
$6,153 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Объем
$105,782Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$105,782Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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