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Технологии·Big Tech

Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?

Market icon
Технологии·Big Tech

Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?

апр. 30

июн. 30

апр. 30

июн. 30

16 апреля или ранее 93%

Не выпущен до 30 апреля 3.0%

17 апреля 2.0%

21 апреля <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$136,476 Объем

16 апреля или ранее 93%

Не выпущен до 30 апреля 3.0%

17 апреля 2.0%

21 апреля <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$136,476 Объем

16 апреля или ранее

$61,548 Объем

93%

17 апреля

$11,983 Объем

2%

18 апреля

$7,005 Объем

1%

19 апреля

$6,134 Объем

<1%

20 апреля

$5,803 Объем

1%

21 апреля

$5,457 Объем

1%

22 апреля

$3,590 Объем

<1%

23 апреля

$3,451 Объем

<1%

24 апреля

$3,628 Объем

<1%

25 апреля

$3,922 Объем

<1%

26 апреля

$3,850 Объем

<1%

27 апреля

$3,827 Объем

<1%

28 апреля

$3,263 Объем

1%

29 апреля

$3,066 Объем

<1%

30 апреля

$3,032 Объем

<1%

Не выпущен до 30 апреля

$8,085 Объем

3%

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$136,476
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$136,476
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «16 апреля или ранее» с 93%, за ним следует «Не выпущен до 30 апреля» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 93¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $136.5K с момента запуска рынка Apr 15, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?» — «16 апреля или ранее» с 93%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 93%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Не выпущен до 30 апреля» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Клод 4.7 выпущен на...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.