**Claude Fable 5 launched on June 9, 2026, as Anthropic’s first publicly available Mythos-class model, introducing $10 per million input and $50 per million output token pricing alongside strong safeguards that route high-risk queries to prior models like Opus 4.8.** Fable 5.1 followed on September 1, 2026, retaining the identical $10/$50 structure while adding research-oriented improvements for coding and knowledge work. Recent competitive pressure includes the September 22 release of Opus 5.5 at lower $4/$20 rates, which reduced typical workload costs by an estimated 40%. No Fable 5.2 announcement has occurred as of late September 2026, so trader sentiment centers on whether subsequent versions will maintain or alter the established output token pricing tier amid ongoing model family expansions and benchmark leadership in long-context tasks. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or quarterly updates that could signal timeline shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоClaude Fable 5.2+: дебют цены выходного токена?
$40+
73%
$50+
52%
$60+
27%
$75+
50%
$20 Объем
$40+
73%
$50+
52%
$60+
27%
$75+
50%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies.
If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 24, 2026, 4:53 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingКто определяет исход
0x65070be91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public. An introductory price qualifies. Batch, fast mode, cached, US-only inference, and other data-residency prices do not qualify. If multiple qualifying models debut on the same date, the highest qualifying price applies.
If no qualifying model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, including its official API pricing page (https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing), with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Источник определения исхода
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricingКто определяет исход
0x65070be91...**Claude Fable 5 launched on June 9, 2026, as Anthropic’s first publicly available Mythos-class model, introducing $10 per million input and $50 per million output token pricing alongside strong safeguards that route high-risk queries to prior models like Opus 4.8.** Fable 5.1 followed on September 1, 2026, retaining the identical $10/$50 structure while adding research-oriented improvements for coding and knowledge work. Recent competitive pressure includes the September 22 release of Opus 5.5 at lower $4/$20 rates, which reduced typical workload costs by an estimated 40%. No Fable 5.2 announcement has occurred as of late September 2026, so trader sentiment centers on whether subsequent versions will maintain or alter the established output token pricing tier amid ongoing model family expansions and benchmark leadership in long-context tasks. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or quarterly updates that could signal timeline shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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