Recent model releases and leaderboard volatility on Arena.ai’s crowdsourced Code Arena WebDev benchmark drive the fragmented odds for third-place lab by month-end. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, launched September 3, surged to first with 1,797 points on agentic frontend tasks, displacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and pushing the latter to second. This leaves Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3 series, and labs such as Meta, SpaceXAI, and Z.ai clustered closely behind in the lab rankings, where small vote swings or new snapshots can reorder positions. Traders price the outcome near even odds across several contenders because Code Arena’s Elo system rewards iterative tool use and multi-step web workflows, areas where Chinese labs have narrowed gaps through targeted training updates. With only weeks remaining, any confirmed September releases or vote surges could shift the third slot before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТретий лучший Code Arena WebDev AI Lab в конце сентября?
Третий лучший Code Arena WebDev AI Lab в конце сентября?
SpaceXAI 35.7%
Alibaba 26%
Moonshot 25%
OpenAI 4.9%
$40,259 Объем
$40,259 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
SpaceXAI
36%
Alibaba
26%
Moonshot
25%
OpenAI
5%
Anthropic
4%
Xiaomi
3%
Z.ai
2%
DeepSeek
1%
1%
MiniMax
1%
Tencent
1%
Mistral
1%
Meta
<1%
Poolside
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Thinky
<1%
SpaceXAI 35.7%
Alibaba 26%
Moonshot 25%
OpenAI 4.9%
$40,259 Объем
$40,259 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
SpaceXAI
$2,103 Объем
36%
Alibaba
$13,255 Объем
26%
Moonshot
$10,042 Объем
25%
OpenAI
$1,616 Объем
5%
Anthropic
$3,371 Объем
4%
Xiaomi
$954 Объем
3%
Z.ai
$1,183 Объем
2%
DeepSeek
$1,136 Объем
1%
$893 Объем
1%
MiniMax
$464 Объем
1%
Tencent
$631 Объем
1%
Mistral
$679 Объем
1%
Meta
$1,156 Объем
<1%
Poolside
$890 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$947 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$937 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and leaderboard volatility on Arena.ai’s crowdsourced Code Arena WebDev benchmark drive the fragmented odds for third-place lab by month-end. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, launched September 3, surged to first with 1,797 points on agentic frontend tasks, displacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and pushing the latter to second. This leaves Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3 series, and labs such as Meta, SpaceXAI, and Z.ai clustered closely behind in the lab rankings, where small vote swings or new snapshots can reorder positions. Traders price the outcome near even odds across several contenders because Code Arena’s Elo system rewards iterative tool use and multi-step web workflows, areas where Chinese labs have narrowed gaps through targeted training updates. With only weeks remaining, any confirmed September releases or vote surges could shift the third slot before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Объем
$40,259Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and leaderboard volatility on Arena.ai’s crowdsourced Code Arena WebDev benchmark drive the fragmented odds for third-place lab by month-end. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, launched September 3, surged to first with 1,797 points on agentic frontend tasks, displacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and pushing the latter to second. This leaves Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3 series, and labs such as Meta, SpaceXAI, and Z.ai clustered closely behind in the lab rankings, where small vote swings or new snapshots can reorder positions. Traders price the outcome near even odds across several contenders because Code Arena’s Elo system rewards iterative tool use and multi-step web workflows, areas where Chinese labs have narrowed gaps through targeted training updates. With only weeks remaining, any confirmed September releases or vote surges could shift the third slot before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$40,259Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and leaderboard volatility on Arena.ai’s crowdsourced Code Arena WebDev benchmark drive the fragmented odds for third-place lab by month-end. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, launched September 3, surged to first with 1,797 points on agentic frontend tasks, displacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and pushing the latter to second. This leaves Alibaba’s Qwen variants, Moonshot’s Kimi K3 series, and labs such as Meta, SpaceXAI, and Z.ai clustered closely behind in the lab rankings, where small vote swings or new snapshots can reorder positions. Traders price the outcome near even odds across several contenders because Code Arena’s Elo system rewards iterative tool use and multi-step web workflows, areas where Chinese labs have narrowed gaps through targeted training updates. With only weeks remaining, any confirmed September releases or vote surges could shift the third slot before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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