Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, with 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40 posts daily so far—totaling around 240 through April 15 amid SpaceX Starship Flight 12 prep buzz and pointed commentary on cultural flashpoints like Disney's policy reversal and urban crime policies. The closely contested race against 320-339 (23.1%) and 280-299 (22.5%) bins underscores uncertainty in his final 36 hours, where viral engagement on Tesla autonomy clips or political hot takes could swing totals. No major lulls or surges in the past 48 hours, but weekend patterns historically boost volume, keeping upside risk alive before tomorrow's close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено300-319 46%
280-299 23.2%
320-339 23.1%
340-359 6.3%
$10,049,324 Объем
$10,049,324 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
260-279
1%
280-299
23%
300-319
46%
320-339
23%
340-359
6%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 46%
280-299 23.2%
320-339 23.1%
340-359 6.3%
$10,049,324 Объем
$10,049,324 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
260-279
$609,027 Объем
1%
280-299
$433,072 Объем
23%
300-319
$343,589 Объем
46%
320-339
$445,883 Объем
23%
340-359
$369,786 Объем
6%
360-379
$392,194 Объем
2%
380-399
$337,515 Объем
<1%
400-419
$412,970 Объем
<1%
420-439
$427,954 Объем
<1%
440-459
$483,526 Объем
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Объем
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Объем
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Объем
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Объем
<1%
540-559
$270,374 Объем
<1%
560-579
$188,742 Объем
<1%
580+
$354,007 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, with 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40 posts daily so far—totaling around 240 through April 15 amid SpaceX Starship Flight 12 prep buzz and pointed commentary on cultural flashpoints like Disney's policy reversal and urban crime policies. The closely contested race against 320-339 (23.1%) and 280-299 (22.5%) bins underscores uncertainty in his final 36 hours, where viral engagement on Tesla autonomy clips or political hot takes could swing totals. No major lulls or surges in the past 48 hours, but weekend patterns historically boost volume, keeping upside risk alive before tomorrow's close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$10,049,324Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, with 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40 posts daily so far—totaling around 240 through April 15 amid SpaceX Starship Flight 12 prep buzz and pointed commentary on cultural flashpoints like Disney's policy reversal and urban crime policies. The closely contested race against 320-339 (23.1%) and 280-299 (22.5%) bins underscores uncertainty in his final 36 hours, where viral engagement on Tesla autonomy clips or political hot takes could swing totals. No major lulls or surges in the past 48 hours, but weekend patterns historically boost volume, keeping upside risk alive before tomorrow's close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$10,049,324Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, with 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40 posts daily so far—totaling around 240 through April 15 amid SpaceX Starship Flight 12 prep buzz and pointed commentary on cultural flashpoints like Disney's policy reversal and urban crime policies. The closely contested race against 320-339 (23.1%) and 280-299 (22.5%) bins underscores uncertainty in his final 36 hours, where viral engagement on Tesla autonomy clips or political hot takes could swing totals. No major lulls or surges in the past 48 hours, but weekend patterns historically boost volume, keeping upside risk alive before tomorrow's close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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